Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1858 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Today

AA 1858 · CLT → ALB

departs 8:40 PM ET · arrives 10:39 PM ET

Forecast issued Fri 5:00 PM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at ALB more than 15 minutes late?

40% chance · ±0 pts +9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to ALB?

On time or early
59%
15–30 min late
22%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
15%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 8pm departures from CLT are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ This flight has been late 29% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility8 mi Precipnone

ALB (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1858 · CLT → ALB

Odds over time

How late will it get to ALB?