Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1894 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Yesterday

AA 1894 · DFW → GSO

departs 2:25 PM CT · arrives 6:04 PM ET

Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 7h after departure

Arrive at GSO more than 15 minutes late?

46% chance · ±0 pts −10 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to GSO?

On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
20%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ This flight has been late 40% of the time recently

↑ 2pm departures from DFW are often late

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at GSO

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.04 in

GSO (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1894 · DFW → GSO

Odds over time

How late will it get to GSO?