Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1894 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, October 4

AA 1894 · DFW → GSO

departs 2:25 PM CT · arrives 6:04 PM ET

Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 45h before departure

Arrive at GSO more than 15 minutes late?

45% chance · ±2 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to GSO?

On time or early
54%
15–30 min late
21%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 40% of the time recently

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.7 mi, 0.8 in of rain forecast at GSO that day

↑ 2pm departures from DFW are often late

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.03 in

GSO (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.7 mi Precip0.83 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1894 · DFW → GSO

Odds over time

How late will it get to GSO?