tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1898 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tomorrow

AA 1898 · PHL → EYW

departs 10:30 AM ET · arrives 1:40 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 12:00 PM ET · 22h before departure
Arrive at EYW more than 15 minutes late?
12% chance · ±2 pts +1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 3.5d 2d Now 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to EYW?

  1. On time or early
    86%
  2. 15–30 min late
    0%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    7%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    2%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    3%
  6. Cancelled
    2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.