tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1898 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 1898 · PHL → EYW

departs 10:30 AM ET · arrives 1:40 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 7:00 PM ET · 64h before departure
Arrive at EYW more than 15 minutes late?
13% chance · ±1 pts +2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 5.5d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to EYW?

  1. On time or early
    86%
  2. 15–30 min late
    0%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    5%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    4%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    3%
  6. Cancelled
    2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.