Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1905 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Tomorrow

AA 1905 · CLT → AUS

departs 7:01 PM ET · arrives 8:57 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 5:00 PM ET · 26h before departure

Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?

42% chance · ±1 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to AUS?

On time or early
56%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 800 ft, 2.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at AUS that day

↑ This flight has been late 37% of the time recently

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

AUS (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility3 mi Precip2.34 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1905 · CLT → AUS

Odds over time

How late will it get to AUS?