Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1933 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Today

AA 1933 · ILM → CLT

departs 8:01 PM ET · arrives 9:16 PM ET

Forecast issued Fri 10:00 AM ET · 10h before departure

Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?

28% chance · ±0 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CLT?

On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
9%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into CLT at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

↓ This flight has been late 22% of the time recently

Weather at each end

ILM (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.25 mi Precipnone

CLT (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility8 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1933 · ILM → CLT

Odds over time

How late will it get to CLT?