Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1968 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Today

AA 1968 · MIA → PHX

departs 9:05 PM ET · arrives 10:47 PM MT

Forecast issued Fri 1:00 PM ET · 8h before departure

Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?

39% chance · ±0 pts +8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PHX?

On time or early
59%
15–30 min late
22%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into PHX at that hour are often late

↑ 9pm departures from MIA are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MIA (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling1,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.03 in

PHX (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1968 · MIA → PHX

Odds over time

How late will it get to PHX?