Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2022
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AA 2022 · CLT → TPA
departs 8:16 PM ET · arrives 9:59 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 69h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±4 pts
+12 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
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How late will it get to TPA?
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On time or early
57%
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15–30 min late
11%
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30 min–1 hour late
16%
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1–2 hours late
8%
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Over 2 hours late
4%
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Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.