Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2064 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Tomorrow

AA 2064 · ORD → MCO

departs 3:08 PM CT · arrives 7:03 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 11:00 PM ET · 41h before departure

Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?

44% chance · ±2 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MCO?

On time or early
55%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
24%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Thunderstorms forecast at MCO that day

↑ This flight has been late 38% of the time recently

↑ 3pm departures from ORD are often late

↓ Other factors

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.14 in

MCO (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.20 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2064 · ORD → MCO

Odds over time

How late will it get to MCO?