Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2077 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Today

AA 2077 · DFW → DCA

departs 8:00 PM CT · arrives 11:59 PM ET

Forecast issued Fri 12:00 AM ET · 21h before departure

Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?

48% chance · ±5 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DCA?

On time or early
49%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
7%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.6 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ 8pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ DCA usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.56 in

DCA (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.10 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2077 · DFW → DCA

Odds over time

How late will it get to DCA?