tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2109 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Yesterday

AA 2109 · MCO → PHL

departs 5:37 PM ET · arrives 8:22 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 4h after departure
Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?
54% chance · ±0 pts +8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 3.8d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to PHL?

  1. On time or early
    43%
  2. 15–30 min late
    4%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    0%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    36%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    9%
  6. Cancelled
    8%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.