Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2116 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Today

AA 2116 · MEM → CLT

departs 2:56 PM CT · arrives 5:48 PM ET

Forecast issued Fri 1:00 PM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±0 pts +14 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to CLT?

On time or early
59%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
7%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.7 in of rain forecast at MEM that day

↑ Arrivals into CLT at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

↓ MEM usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

MEM (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling1,633 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.63 in

CLT (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility8 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2116 · MEM → CLT

Odds over time

How late will it get to CLT?