Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2134 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Today

AA 2134 · CLT → MKE

departs 11:38 AM ET · arrives 12:44 PM CT

Forecast issued Fri 1:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at MKE more than 15 minutes late?

18% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to MKE?

On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 25% of the time recently

↑ CLT is busy at that time

↑ Arrivals into MKE at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility8 mi Precipnone

MKE (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling4,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2134 · CLT → MKE

Odds over time

How late will it get to MKE?