Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2145 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2

AA 2145 · DFW → MSP

departs 11:55 AM CT · arrives 2:19 PM CT

Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 9h after departure

Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?

35% chance · ±0 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to MSP?

On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ 11am departures from DFW are often late

↑ This flight has been late 31% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MSP

↓ MSP usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.04 in

MSP (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling10,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2145 · DFW → MSP

Odds over time

How late will it get to MSP?