tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2201 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Today

AA 2201 · MSY → MIA

departs 6:57 PM CT · arrives 9:59 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 12:00 PM ET · 8h before departure
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
49% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 3.9d 2d 1d 12h Now 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to MIA?

  1. On time or early
    44%
  2. 15–30 min late
    19%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    0%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    18%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    6%
  6. Cancelled
    13%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.