Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2279 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Yesterday

AA 2279 · CLT → PBI

departs 11:04 AM ET · arrives 12:58 PM ET

Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 11h after departure

Arrive at PBI more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±0 pts −8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to PBI?

On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at PBI

↑ This flight has been late 24% of the time recently

↑ PBI is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility8 mi Precipnone

PBI (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling3,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.03 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2279 · CLT → PBI

Odds over time

How late will it get to PBI?