Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2504 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Today

AA 2504 · PHL → SAV

departs 3:38 PM ET · arrives 5:51 PM ET

Forecast issued Fri 9:00 PM ET · 5h after departure

Arrive at SAV more than 15 minutes late?

47% chance · ±0 pts +10 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to SAV?

On time or early
51%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
17%
Over 2 hours late
10%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHL

↑ 3pm departures from PHL are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi forecast at SAV that day

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ PHL is quiet at that time

Weather at each end

PHL (origin) Gusts27 kt Ceiling4,000 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.77 in

SAV (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip1.54 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2504 · PHL → SAV

Odds over time

How late will it get to SAV?