Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2525 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Today

AA 2525 · SEA → CLT

departs 10:47 AM PT · arrives 7:06 PM ET

Forecast issued Fri 2:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±1 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to CLT?

On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ SEA is prone to delays

↑ 10am departures from SEA are often late

↑ Arrivals into CLT at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SEA

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

Weather at each end

SEA (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling1,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

CLT (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility8 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2525 · SEA → CLT

Odds over time

How late will it get to CLT?