Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2531SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Today
AA 2531 · PHL → MCO
departs 6:05 PM ET · arrives 8:54 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 4:00 AM ET · 14h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
46%chance · ±3 pts−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREGood. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
54%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.