Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 266 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Today

AA 266 · LIH → LAX

departs 1:19 PM HT · arrives 10:00 PM PT

Forecast issued Fri 7:00 AM ET · 12h before departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

32% chance · ±0 pts +8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LAX?

On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,100 ft, 0.6 in of rain forecast at LIH that day

↑ LAX is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into LAX at that hour are often late

↓ Visibility down to 0.8 mi forecast at LAX that day

↓ LIH usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

LIH (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.43 in

LAX (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility0.8 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 266 · LIH → LAX

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAX?