Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 266 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, October 4

AA 266 · LIH → LAX

departs 1:19 PM HT · arrives 10:00 PM PT

Forecast issued Fri 6:00 AM ET · 61h before departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LAX?

On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ LAX is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into LAX at that hour are often late

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX

↓ This flight has been late 17% of the time recently

Weather at each end

LIH (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LAX (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 266 · LIH → LAX

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAX?