Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2709 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Tomorrow

AA 2709 · DFW → PSP

departs 7:35 PM CT · arrives 8:36 PM PT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 23h before departure

Arrive at PSP more than 15 minutes late?

46% chance · ±5 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PSP?

On time or early
51%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
15%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
6%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.8 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ 7pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PSP

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.57 in

PSP (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2709 · DFW → PSP

Odds over time

How late will it get to PSP?