Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2709 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 3

AA 2709 · DFW → PSP

departs 7:35 PM CT · arrives 8:36 PM PT

Forecast issued Thu 5:00 PM ET · 52h before departure

Arrive at PSP more than 15 minutes late?

41% chance · ±3 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PSP?

On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 7pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PSP

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.35 in

PSP (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2709 · DFW → PSP

Odds over time

How late will it get to PSP?