Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2781SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Today
AA 2781 · MIA → TPA
departs 8:05 AM ET · arrives 9:13 AM ET
Forecast issued Fri 4:00 PM ET · 8h after departure
Odds over time
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
11%chance · ±0 pts−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREVery high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
How late will it get to TPA?
On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.