Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2781SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Today
AA 2781 · TPA → MIA
departs 9:53 AM ET · arrives 11:06 AM ET
Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 8h after departure
Odds over time
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
14%chance · ±0 pts−6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREVery high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
How late will it get to MIA?
On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.