Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2813 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Today

AA 2813 · TPA → DFW

departs 5:56 PM ET · arrives 7:50 PM CT

Forecast issued Fri 1:00 PM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

68% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
23%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
15%
Over 2 hours late
15%
Cancelled
27%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.6 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at TPA that day

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

TPA (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.54 in

DFW (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.48 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2813 · TPA → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?