Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2873 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Tomorrow

AA 2873 · DFW → TYS

departs 9:45 AM CT · arrives 12:53 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 13h before departure

Arrive at TYS more than 15 minutes late?

58% chance · ±0 pts +18 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to TYS?

On time or early
40%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
22%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
6%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.8 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↑ 9am departures from DFW are often late

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ TYS usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.57 in

TYS (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2873 · DFW → TYS

Odds over time

How late will it get to TYS?