Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2885 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Tomorrow

AA 2885 · DFW → MSY

departs 10:00 AM CT · arrives 11:30 AM CT

Forecast issued Thu 5:00 PM ET · 18h before departure

Arrive at MSY more than 15 minutes late?

50% chance · ±8 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MSY?

On time or early
47%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
23%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
7%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 0.8 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↑ 10am departures from DFW are often late

↓ Arrivals into MSY at that hour are usually not late

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility1 mi Precip0.83 in

MSY (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.22 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2885 · DFW → MSY

Odds over time

How late will it get to MSY?