Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2934 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Today

AA 2934 · DFW → ILM

departs 12:05 PM CT · arrives 3:54 PM ET

Forecast issued Fri 2:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at ILM more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±2 pts −17 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to ILM?

On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 29% of the time recently

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.25 mi forecast at ILM that day

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.36 in

ILM (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.25 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2934 · DFW → ILM

Odds over time

How late will it get to ILM?