Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2934 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow

AA 2934 · DFW → ILM

departs 12:05 PM CT · arrives 3:54 PM ET

Forecast issued Fri 5:00 PM ET · 20h before departure

Arrive at ILM more than 15 minutes late?

43% chance · ±9 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ILM?

On time or early
54%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, 0.6 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ This flight has been late 29% of the time recently

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ ILM usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.61 in

ILM (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.39 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2934 · DFW → ILM

Odds over time

How late will it get to ILM?