Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2937 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Tomorrow

AA 2937 · DFW → FSD

departs 7:49 PM CT · arrives 9:58 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 6:00 PM ET · 27h before departure

Arrive at FSD more than 15 minutes late?

58% chance · ±6 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to FSD?

On time or early
40%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
20%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 0.8 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ 7pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ This flight has been late 48% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at FSD

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.83 in

FSD (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2937 · DFW → FSD

Odds over time

How late will it get to FSD?