Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 3319 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Today

AA 3319 · LAX → PHL

departs 12:18 PM PT · arrives 8:40 PM ET

Forecast issued Fri 4:00 AM ET · 11h before departure

Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?

42% chance · ±0 pts +12 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PHL?

On time or early
54%
15–30 min late
23%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
7%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into PHL at that hour are often late

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHL

↑ 12pm departures from LAX are often late

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility0.8 mi Precipnone

PHL (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 3319 · LAX → PHL

Odds over time

How late will it get to PHL?