Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 386SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Today
AA 386 · MSY → MIA
departs 6:05 AM CT · arrives 9:11 AM ET
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 PM ET · 6h after departure
Odds over time
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
9%chance · ±0 pts−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREVery high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
How late will it get to MIA?
On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.