Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 431 LANDED 12:08 AM ET, ~15 MIN EARLY · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Friday, October 2

AA 431 · MYR → CLT

took off 11:35 PM ET · landed 12:08 AM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?

56% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

No breakdown for this forecast yet.

Weather at each end

MYR (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling1,400 ft Visibility1.5 mi Precipnone

CLT (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility8 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 431 · MYR → CLT

Odds over time