Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 470
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tomorrow
AA 470 · PHL → ORD
departs 3:45 PM ET · arrives 5:29 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 2:00 PM ET · 26h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±0 pts
+7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
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How late will it get to ORD?
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On time or early
58%
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15–30 min late
8%
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30 min–1 hour late
16%
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1–2 hours late
9%
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Over 2 hours late
7%
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Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.