Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 535 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Today

AA 535 · MIA → ATL

departs 6:20 PM ET · arrives 8:25 PM ET

Forecast issued Fri 3:00 PM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?

42% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to ATL?

On time or early
55%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
5%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 34% of the time recently

↑ 0.3 in of rain forecast at MIA that day

↑ 6pm departures from MIA are often late

↓ Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at ATL that day

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MIA (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling1,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.10 in

ATL (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility5 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 535 · MIA → ATL

Odds over time

How late will it get to ATL?