Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 620 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Today

AA 620 · AUS → MIA

departs 12:05 PM CT · arrives 4:00 PM ET

Forecast issued Fri 3:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?

49% chance · ±2 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to MIA?

On time or early
50%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at AUS that day

↑ Arrivals into MIA at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 31% of the time recently

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ AUS is quiet at that time

Weather at each end

AUS (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility1.5 mi Precip0.99 in

MIA (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling1,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.10 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 620 · AUS → MIA

Odds over time

How late will it get to MIA?