Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 875 LANDED 9:57 PM ET, ~10 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Friday, October 2

AA 875 · MIA → MCO

took off 9:20 PM ET · landed 9:57 PM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?

35% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late

↑ Other factors

↑ This flight has been late 29% of the time recently

↓ MCO usually runs smoothly

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MIA (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling1,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.10 in

MCO (destination) Gusts29 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility1.25 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 875 · MIA → MCO

Odds over time