Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 926 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Today

AA 926 · IND → MIA

departs 6:40 PM ET · arrives 9:28 PM ET

Forecast issued Fri 12:00 PM ET · 7h before departure

Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?

45% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MIA?

On time or early
50%
15–30 min late
21%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
9%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into MIA at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 6pm departures from IND are often late

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ IND usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

IND (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.42 in

MIA (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling1,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 926 · IND → MIA

Odds over time

How late will it get to MIA?