Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 1177 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Tomorrow

AS 1177 · KOA → HNL

departs 8:45 PM HT · arrives 9:33 PM HT

Forecast issued Fri 1:00 AM ET · 26h before departure

Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?

28% chance · ±2 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to HNL?

On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ HNL is prone to delays

↑ Other factors

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ 8pm departures from KOA are usually not late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at KOA

Weather at each end

KOA (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility6 mi Precipnone

HNL (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.14 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 1177 · KOA → HNL

Odds over time

How late will it get to HNL?