Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 1177SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AS 1177 · KOA → HNL
departs 8:45 PM HT · arrives 9:33 PM HT
Forecast issued Thu 11:00 AM ET · 64h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?
19%chance · ±1 pts– · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to HNL?
On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.