Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 1177 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 1 Yesterday

AS 1177 · KOA → HNL

departs 8:45 PM HT · arrives 9:33 PM HT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?

46% chance · ±0 pts +13 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to HNL?

On time or early
51%
15–30 min late
31%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
5%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Visibility down to 2 mi, 1.1 in of rain forecast at HNL that day

↑ Other factors

↑ HNL is prone to delays

↓ 8pm departures from KOA are usually not late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at KOA

Weather at each end

KOA (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling1,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

HNL (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling2,500 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.61 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 1177 · KOA → HNL

Odds over time

How late will it get to HNL?