Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 263
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AS 263 · SEA → EWR
departs 3:38 PM PT · arrives 11:59 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 11:00 PM ET · 44h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
48%
chance · ±10 pts
+15 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
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How late will it get to EWR?
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On time or early
51%
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15–30 min late
21%
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30 min–1 hour late
9%
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1–2 hours late
12%
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Over 2 hours late
5%
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Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.