Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 405
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AS 405 · SEA → OKC
departs 8:18 AM PT · arrives 1:57 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 6:00 PM ET · 41h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at OKC more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±2 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
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How late will it get to OKC?
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On time or early
73%
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15–30 min late
18%
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30 min–1 hour late
5%
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1–2 hours late
3%
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Over 2 hours late
<1%
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Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.