Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 405SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AS 405 · SEA → OKC
departs 8:18 AM PT · arrives 1:57 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 6:00 PM ET · 65h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at OKC more than 15 minutes late?
18%chance · ±0 pts−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to OKC?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.