Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 573
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AS 573 · EWR → SAN
departs 6:29 PM ET · arrives 9:37 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 8:00 PM ET · 46h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?
60%
chance · ±6 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
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How late will it get to SAN?
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On time or early
35%
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15–30 min late
15%
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30 min–1 hour late
10%
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1–2 hours late
19%
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Over 2 hours late
11%
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Cancelled
10%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.