Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 582SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AS 582 · PSP → SEA
departs 2:10 PM PT · arrives 5:00 PM PT
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 5h after departure
Odds over time
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
19%chance · ±0 pts+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREVery high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
How late will it get to SEA?
On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.