Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 615SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Today
AS 615 · SEA → STL
departs 6:04 PM PT · arrives 11:59 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 11:00 AM ET · 10h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at STL more than 15 minutes late?
21%chance · ±0 pts−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREGood. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
How late will it get to STL?
On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.