Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 91 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Today

AS 91 · SEA → SIT

departs 9:18 PM PT · arrives 10:44 PM AKDT

Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at SIT more than 15 minutes late?

67% chance · ±0 pts +39 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to SIT?

On time or early
33%
15–30 min late
48%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
17%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.4 in of rain forecast at SIT that day

↑ This flight has been late 27% of the time recently

↑ SEA is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SEA

↓ Arrivals into SIT at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

SEA (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SIT (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling1,900 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.41 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 91 · SEA → SIT

Odds over time

How late will it get to SIT?